United Opposition (UNO) vice presidential candidate Jejomar C. Binay has taken a big 12-point leap over his rivals in the National Capital Region (NCR) in the latest survey, edging out previous front runner Mar Roxas.
Conducted between April 4 and 6, the survey showed Binay leading in the NCR with 39 percent of respondents, a big 12 percent jump over Roxas of the Liberal Party (LP) and Nacionalista Party (NP) aspirant Sen. Loren Legarda.
Significantly, the survey conducted by former Social Weather Stations (SWS) pollster Pedro Laylo Jr. and published in the Manila Standard, indicated that Binay was taking voters away from both Roxas and Legarda since his gain came when the two contenders lost 7 percentage points each.
Binay’s performance is significant since the NCR is the barometer of the national political mood and registers one of the highest rates of voter participation during presidential and vice presidential elections.
NCR results also a guide to the choices of voters in the Lucena-Lingayen Corridor (LLC), which accounts for 40 percent of all voters in the country.
Binay may still win additional votes since the undecided voters jumped from 4 percent to 11 percent, a sizable number in a political contest where three contenders are vying for support.
The survey came at a time when Roxas and Legarda were bickering in media while Binay was harping on issues. During the survey period, Binay questioned the plan to impose value added tax on tollway fees and the proposal of the Department of Finance (DoF) to raise the expanded value added tax (EVAT) to 15 percent.
The survey involved 2,500 nationwide. It had a margin of error of 2 percent.
The newspaper survey followed the release of survey results by SWS and Pulse Asia, both of which showed the Makati City mayor and running mate of former President Joseph Estrada gaining on Legarda and Roxas.
As early as the March 21-28 survey of Pulse Asia, it has been established that Binay was going strong in the CDE classes, with the well-publicized Roxas leading him marginally in these classes.
The same survey found that Binay only slightly behind Roxas in the NCR.
Moreover, Pulse Asia said that compared to the February 2010 survey figures, Binay advanced to 19 percent from 15 percent, Legarda lost ground, dropping to 23 percent from 27 percent. In contrast, Roxas’ rating was virtually unchanged.
The Businessworld-SWS survey of March 19-22 showed Roxas with 42 percent, Legarda with 25 percent and Binay with 21 percent.
Binay gained 4 points compared to the February 24-28 survey of BusinessWorld-SWS, Legarda’s lead over Binay dropped from 11 points to 4 points. Binay also narrowed down the lead of Roxas to 21 percent.#