Do I sound like a doomsday soothsayer, fellas?
The thought that 7 out of 10 people in the world will be infected with the corona virus disease is not only alarming; it seems like it’s the beginning of the end of humankind. It will be a case of pandemic spread of the disease.
Benhur Lee, MD, Professor of Microbiology of the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai (ISMMS), on Feb. 21, 2020 said that the number of reports from multiple different countries in the past 36 hours shows what is most likely a community human to human spread of SARS-CoV-2 confirming fears that the virus is on its way to going pandemic.
And why not?
“We are are estimating that about 50,000 new infections per day are occurring in China. It will probably peak in its epicenter, Wuhan, in about one-month time; maybe a month or two later in the whole of China. The rest of the world will see epidemics at various times after that,” said Prof. Neil Ferguson Director, Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics Imperial College, London last February 6.
Last month, Prof. Gabriel Leung, an expert on coronavirus epidemics and Chair of Public Health Medicine at the Hong Kong University said the epidemic, if left unchecked, could infect 60% of global population.
He said: “Sixty per cent of the world’s population is an awfully big number. The overriding question is to figure out the size and shape of the iceberg. Most experts thought that each person infected would go on to transmit the virus to about 2.5 other people. That gave an “attack rate” of 60-80%.
Prof. Marc Lipsitch of Harvard School of Public Health said that even if the general fatality rate is as low as 1%, which Leung thinks is possible once milder cases are taken into account, the death toll would be massive.
“I think it is likely we will see a global pandemic. If a pandemic happens, 40% to 70% of people world-wide are likely to be infected in the coming year. What proportion is asymptomatic, I can’t give a good number,” he said.
Aside from the growing number of infections in Asia, the United States is already hit, unknown to health authorities when two new and unexplained cases of coronavirus emerged in Northern California and in Oregon this last week of February.
The New York Times reported that the cases could indicate signs of spread within the United States. Oregon health officials said they had identified a school employee in the Portland area who appears to have contracted the coronavirus more than a week ago. The patient, who had not recently traveled to China, has had symptoms since Feb. 19 and may have exposed students and staff at a school in Clackamas County.
As of February 29, the following is the world COVID-19 infection according to the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control:
Africa: Algeria (1), Egypt (1) and Nigeria (1) Asia: China (79 251), South Korea (2 931), Iran (388), Japan (230), Singapore (98), Hong Kong (94), Kuwait (45), Thailand (42), Taiwan (39), Bahrain (38), Malaysia (25), United Arab Emirates (19), Vietnam (16), Macau (10), Iraq (7), Israel (7), Oman (6), India (3), Lebanon (3), Philippines (3), Pakistan (2), Afghanistan (1), Azerbaijan (1), Cambodia (1), Nepal (1) and Sri Lanka (1). America: United States of America (66), Canada (16), Mexico (2) and Brazil (1). Europe: Italy (888), France (57), Germany (57), Spain (34), United Kingdom (18), Sweden (12), Switzerland (12), Austria (7), Norway (6), Croatia (5), Greece (4), Finland (3), Romania (3), Denmark (2), Georgia (2), Netherlands (2), Russia (2), Belarus (1), Belgium (1), Estonia (1), Iceland (1), Lithuania (1), Monaco (1), North Macedonia (1) and San Marino (1). Oceania: Australia (25) and New Zealand (1). Others: Cases on an international conveyance (Japan) (705).
Another very alarming info is that the coronavirus may enter the human body through the eyes.
Exactly, fellas, through the eyes! The killer coronavirus rapidly sweeping the world could be caught through the eyes, scientists have today warned. Chinese doctor Wang Guangfa fears he may have contracted the SARS-like infection because he wasn’t wearing protective goggles. Leading experts confirmed it is ‘absolutely possible’, saying the virus can enter the eyes by touching them – if it is on a patient’s hands. And they even warned the virus – thought to be spread through sneezes and coughs – can roam through the body to reach the eye.
“When infected persons cough or sneezes, they let out a spray, and if these droplets reach the nose, eyes or mouth of another person, they can pass on the virus,” said Jennifer Nuzzo, an infectious disease expert and senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security.
She added that in rarer cases, a person might catch the respiratory disease indirectly, “via touching droplets on surfaces — and then touching mucosal membranes” in the mouth, eyes, and nose.
So, if we wear protective masks, we might as well wear eye-protective gears, too. You can just imagine how the people of the world look like when that pandemic effect comes!
May I re-share again the following tips to avoid the coronavirus, fellas:
1. Avoid close contact with people who are sick.
2. Avoid touching your eyes, nose and mouth.
3. Stay home when you are sick.
4. Cover your cough or sneeze with a tissue, then throw the tissue in the trash.
5. Clean and disinfect frequently touched objects and surfaces using a regular household cleaning spray or wipe. ●